THE February 25 General Election will come down to 14 marginal seats, which a new poll conducted by Trinidad- based political scientist Derek Ramsamooj shows is leaning towards the Jamaica Labour Party (JLP).
According to Ramsamooj, the privately commissioned poll conducted between nomination day (February 9) and the past weekend, before the JLP-and the governing People’s National Party (PNP)-hosted major rallies in Half-Way-Tree and Montego Bay, respectively, found that 51.76 per cent of electors in these marginal seats would vote for the JLP and 48.24 per cent for the PNP.
“The political momentum at this point is leaning favourably towards the JLP forming the next Government. However, the winning of an election is based on the resources — financial and human — and the [effectiveness] of the election machinery [on election day],” said Ramsamooj.
He warned, however, that any “unforeseen error” by either of the political parties in the next 48 hours will be a political disaster.
Ramsamooj said he and his team interviewed 1,859 people for the poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus four per cent.
(READ MORE: http://www.jamaicaobserver.com/news/T-T-pollster-finds-momentum-leaning-to-JLP)