The hurricane season for our region which covers the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico starts tomorrow,Wednesday 01 June 2016.
The major tropical cyclone forecast centers are predicting near normal activity in our region this year. Their numbers include Hurricane Alex and Tropical Storm Bonnie which formed in January and May 2016 respectively.
Scientists at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center say that there is a 70 per cent likelihood of 10 to 16 named storms developing, of which 4 to 8 will become hurricanes with a possibility of 1 to 4 developing into major hurricanes.
The Colorado State University team has predicted the formation of 12 named storms of which 5 will become hurricanes with 2 developing into major hurricanes.
Pre-season rainfall over Saint Lucia this year has generally been below average but predictions are for near normal amounts until the end of July. Rainfall is expected to increase thereafter and above normal amounts are expected from August to October.
In spite of the predictions, the Saint Lucia Met Services as usual urges all Saint Lucian residents to make adequate plans and preparations for the hurricane season. Please make it your duty to follow developments in the weather by paying particular attention to local weather reports, advisories and bulletins, especially those issued by the Saint Lucia Meteorological Services.
The National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) will also be issuing important advice and information which you should follow closely.
The hurricane season ends on 30 November 2016.