The Saint Lucia Labour Party’s most recent poll, across all 17 constituencies, with the reputable regional pollster Don Anderson, who has accurately predicted the outcome of the last four national elections in Jamaica, as well as recent national elections in Grenada, Nevis, St. Kitts and Nevis and Antigua and Barbuda.
Don Anderson has also worked extensively for the World Bank across the region.
This poll had a 3.2% margin of error at the 95% confidence level.
The results of the poll indicated that the Saint Lucia Labour Party is comfortably ahead in 10 of the 11 seats in which they are leading.
The UWP is comfortably ahead in 3 of the 4 seats in which they are leading, and there are two seats that are too close to call. The poll indicated that “the best case scenario for the SLP is 13-4, and the worst case scenario is 11-6.
It also recognised that there is a high level of undecideds who could influence this projection “if they are swayed by manifestos and campaign messages during the last week”.
The poll also indicated that voter turn-out may not be in excess of 55% unless there is a sudden high level of engagement of the electorate in the last week of the campaigning.
The results of the Don Anderson poll were re-tested in spot polling on 28 and 29 May, 2016 in select constituencies, which reaffirmed that the Saint Lucia Labour Party is well on its way to victory on Monday 6th June, 2016.
The SLP will take none of this for granted and will therefore put everything in place to ensure success on June 6 in order to continue its drive and commitment to positively transform the lives and fortunes of the people of Saint Lucia over the next 5 years.
Of course, we realise that these results are at variance with the results of the Wickham-CADRES poll. However, we are confident in the integrity of our pollster and his polling record.
We also note that Mr. Wickham was unable to accurately predict the 2006 General Election in Saint Lucia and was quite inconsistent in the last week of the Barbados General Election in 2013.
Therefore, the Saint Lucia Labour Party calls on all Saint Lucians to turn out at the polls on Monday 6th June to vote for a continuation of the SLP policies and programmes that have helped put our country back on a clear path of growth and development.
Let us continue to make our country better together.