Tropical Wave Expected to Cross Windward Islands; Could Develop into Tropical Depression

NOAA: A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. The wave is forecast to move quickly westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph for the next day or two, crossing the Windward Islands on Sunday.

Although the system is currently disorganized, environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some development and a tropical depression could form later this weekend or early next week.

A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over much of the Lesser Antilles over the weekend, and interests on those islands and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this disturbance.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.

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